Predictions for 2024

Predictions are funny things. Often, my personal predictions come true, albeit well after they are expected to occur. Still, many of the things that I expect for 2024 will emerge quickly, largely because things are closing-in upon the United States faster than ever before and it is an election year. It is hard to see the true depth of the collapse on traditional cable news or even basic entertainment. The regime is trying desperately to hide the rapid decline of a system it lost completely in 2020 (more on that in a moment).

To be sure, never count out an entity with the capacity to print its own money and nuclear weapons. The United States has both and like a wounded animal in the corner, it is more dangerous because its top echelon knows the game is over. The U.S. dies with every decision it makes in a pathetic struggle for survival. All Russia and China need to do is step back and watch it choke all on its own. Regime elites will try not to let that happen, but it is too late. Almost every move they make is a textbook posture of a country in its death throes.

The following five predictions are mine alone. Others may agree. Many will not. For what it is worth, this will be a terrible year for Heritage Americans, and that will ultimately be good for us.

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Donald Trump will not be the Republican Nominee

Confidence Level: 97%

Of all the predictions, this is the one of which I am most confident. This really has nothing to do with Trump’s messaging or any particular policies he advocates. I once liked Trump and support much of that which he claims to believe today. However, Trump betrayed nearly every single supporter that got him to the top in 2016. His inability to stop the federal government from its unhinged war on so-called White Nationalism while the antifa literally burned the country to the ground was a study in weakness and cowardice. The cherry-on-top was his outlandishly pro-Jewish policies. If I had to listen to one more speech about “record low black unemployment,” I think I might jump off a bridge. Regardless, this prediction has nothing to do with my disdain for the fraud. Rather, it has to do with the simple fact that the establishment does not want Trump.

Trump will be convicted on bogus charges in Fulton County, Georgia. When that happens, it will eliminate him from the candidacy due to automatic prohibitions against felons on ballots across the country on a state-by-state level. That conviction gives the Republican National Committee the option to slide their own person into place.

Given the level of incompetence that Trump displayed in his previous role as president, there is no reason to assume he would do anything different. In fact, the regime grew more powerful under his watch. But Trump’s real threat to the establishment is not his actual capabilities to “drain the swamp,” rather it is his messaging that undermines the popular sentiment toward the swamp. The establishment thrives on people like Sean Hannity – deracinated, pro-American, civic nationalists who support the regime by proxy. They love Trump, but they also love the military, law enforcement, and almost every other mechanism of their suppression. There is a general belief within DC circles that killing the Trump candidacy will lead to a more acceptable Republican alternative who is equally wedded to the establishment and will still garner enough Republican votes to at least keep the façade of a functional republic going. They may be right.

While that view is disconnected from the rest of the United States, the regime’s chosen “conservative” outlet – Fox News – will reinforce their prejudices. With enough anti-Muslim, pro-Jewish, anti-Nazi, pro-Lincoln “patriots,” they can get someone like Nikki Haley enough votes as the lesser of two evils (her or Biden) in November.

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Nikki Haley Emerges as the Republican Nominee

Confidence Level: 75%

The only functional populist on the stage for 2023/24 was Ron DeSantis. As the Governor of Florida, he was outstanding. Too bad he was a terrible, canned candidate too beholden to the typical slew of political sycophants that dominate electoral political machines every four years. Worse, Trump immediately went for the jugular on his only rightwing competition – hitting DeSantis as an establishment pick (an obvious lie by anyone watching the Governor or his inner circle). Legally constrained from responding for six crucial months, DeSantis was never able to recover from Trump’s onslaught of defining campaign rhetoric. But the real blow to DeSantis was his political inexperience coupled with a team of exploitative professional electioneers who steered him toward a pro-Jewish posture.

Had DeSantis stuck to his guns and listened to his political circles within Florida, he would have leaned further to the Dissident Right. Thanks to the professional political class, he went the opposite way. DeSantis placed all his chips on Judaism and in so doing, hoped that Dispensationalist Evangelicals would carry him over the finish line. That was a disastrous move and it failed.

If 2016 and 2020 taught us anything, it is this: in order for a rightwing candidate to win in the modern era, they need the force multiplying effects of dissident voices to support their candidacy. In other words, for every Sean Hannity or Laura Ingram who will support the ‘R’ blindly, the real way to win political support is to get people saying what you are saying or more importantly – feeling. The political Right still refuses to embrace the lessons of the political Left. The political Left does not hide from their more outrageous, fringe voices. They effectively ignore them publicly, while encouraging them privately. It enhances their more moderate toned messaging with passions that feel organic. The political Right – if such a thing exists – chooses to denounce dissident voices and, in so doing, denounces their own constituents. Failing to dog whistle the dissident Right – which worked in 2016 – should be the strategy. Honestly, if Ramaswamy were White instead of Indian, he would be leading the pack of everyone not named Trump. His messaging is on point, even if I personally think the guy is an opportunistic fraud.

All that leads me to the other Indian in the race – Nikki Haley. The establishment loves her. She is everything the Republican Party desires – a post-White, female alternative to the Democratic Party. She is the least acceptable candidate in the entire race, but there was a reason she was there from the beginning. She always knew she was going to win. With DeSantis slaughtered by Trump and his own miscalculations, the true establishment pick – Haley – slid under the radar and will likely be the nominee.

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A Late Economic Hit

Confidence Level: 85%

The economy will hold steady for the next several months. Right after the election, the rug will get pulled out from everyone. There are several reasons for this.

First, interest rates remain higher than they have been for some time. The fact that so many are working continues to keep prices inflated (although recent reports may undermine that assumption). Housing sales hit a standstill and prices are beginning to come back down to earth. The cumulative effect of all this will be interest rate relaxation in the middle of the year, just in time to help the Biden Administration. I would expect a housing boom to begin again in the summer. That will help lenders, realtors, and consumers.

Of course, cheap monetary policy for decades is the reason we have the issues we have. Several exploitative fiscal moves by the Obama Administration – namely three rounds of quantitative easing – really harmed the American people for at least a generation. Unfortunately, most lacked the sophistication to understand the motives behind monetizing the debt or keeping high debt entities within sustainable fiscal command postures. Regardless, as a political tool, cheap money policies work. This will be rolled out again for Biden as it was for Obama in the beginning of 2012.

The follow-up, however, is that inflation and labor markets are correlated. Historically, the higher the inflation the lower the unemployment rate. When inflation contracts or is eliminated, labor markets suffer. Obama was able to hide his terrible unemployment statistics by manipulating the definition of “employed” (he included under-employed and part-time employed figures into the full unemployment records for the first time in American history). Additionally, the Obama team benefitted from labor participation shrinkage. Less workers meant a greater rate of presumed employment within a smaller pool. The Obama team did this by offering various federal subsidies to discourage work, such as giving full social security to people who claimed to have insomnia. The only president to oversee a labor pool expansion, wage growth, and unemployment under 4% in the past fifty years was Donald Trump.

The problem for Biden is that recent statistics indicate that workplace efficiencies are dropping at exactly the same time that White male labor participation is disappearing. Several recent reports indicate that companies made good on their promise to hire minorities to the exclusion of White men. The assumption was that White men would simply work elsewhere or keep their dead-end jobs. They did not. Rather, White men seem to have vanished – choosing to work for themselves in record numbers, often as contractors who are hired at much higher rates to fix the problems caused by their minority replacements.

The combination of reduced interest rates, already shrinking labor participation, and collapsing efficiency (a key driver of GDP) will come to bear right after the election. The cumulative impact will be disastrous, but it will be too late to do anything about it. The Democrat will have already won reelection.

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Biden Wins Reelection

Confidence Level: 65%

The only reasons I am not more confident about this scenario is due to Biden’s age and the Republican nominee. If Nikki Haley is the nominee, the regime may let the Republican win, just to make it appear as though voting is still important. Of course, Biden looks like he is about to keel over and die any minute. Whereas I would not put it past the American Empire to use his doppelganger for four years, it would be pretty hard to hide an outright death. Otherwise, I am fairly certain that the regime wants the Obama 3.0 Administration to become the Obama 4.0 Administration.

To be sure, Biden is a useless character, and no one believes he runs anything. This is clearly Obama’s Administration. That stated, a few things are now against the Republicans.

First, the electoral politics no longer favor Republicans. Unlike 2016, when the Republican nominee could count on Georgia and Arizona, that is no longer the case. Both have been changed by demographics. New Yorkers who moved to Atlanta and Californians who moved to Phoenix are voting for the same stupid policies that destroyed their home states. Add the fact that both states now have sizeable minority blocs – blacks in Georgia (+30%) and Hispanics in Arizona (+30%) – and you no longer have reliable electoral victories. It gets worse.

In 2016, Trump won Pennsylvania and Michigan. Both states were led by Democrats in 2020 and they ensured the rules were changed to kill the presidential reelection of Trump. Those Democrat leaders are now better entrenched in 2024. Finally, with the loss of Georgia and Arizona, the only state for which the Republicans have an outside chance of taking back from the Democrats is Virginia. Like it or not, Virginia is a bedroom community for the establishment. They might choose a Nikki Haley, but they will never choose a Donald Trump.

Additionally, the Republican Party never invested in the same kind of ground game that gave someone like DeSantis a massive victory in Florida. Trump is excellent at inspiring the masses; he sucks at the nitty gritty of winning. Haley has no known ground game. The only candidate who invested in a ground game – DeSantis – will not likely make it past South Carolina.

Finally, it is important to note that even if the regime did not tip the scales in favor of Biden (or whomever is the Democrat candidate in 2024), most people are asleep. They vote for the status quo, even when they really do not understand the implications of the status quo. The demographics of the country are rapidly changing in a way that makes Heritage America a quickly fading memory. The Democratic Party will have a lock on American politics for the foreseeable future because demographics is destiny. California will be the template for a new America – and that includes the South if it remains in the Union.

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A Major Catastrophe Will Befall the United States

Confidence Level: 55%

We are due for one. The regime may not need one for reelection, but it will happen. Since I am predicting an Act of God – and I am not a prophet – I am least confident regarding this prediction. But it seems like every ten years or so, we are hit by something really big. The early 2000s were incredibly active, between 9/11, Katrinia, and a slew of activity both global (i.e., 2005 Tsunami) and local that impacted the United States. I expect the same will happen in 2024.

It may be a terror attack to stimulate collapsing military enlistments. It may be a massive hurricane to further “prove” climate change. It could be a monumental earthquake (Asia has been very active on the Pacific Rim). Regardless, it seems like we have been too quiet on the disaster front. Florida excluded (which was hit with significant hurricanes and tornadoes the past three years), the rest of the U.S. has seemed to go largely unscathed. There have been major tornadoes, but they were hyper local and died in the news quickly.

It almost feels like a rubber band has been pulled back to the brink. I hope I am wrong. I do not wish for a loss of life on any major scale. But with the amount of weather manipulation with which we are engaged (e.g., rain seeding), it seems like a bill is coming due.

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Concluding on Civil War

The totality of events in 2024 – from the denial of a Trump candidacy to a Biden reelection to a year end economic hit – watch for greater levels of “civil war” talk. The United States is operating on borrowed time. I expect things will get violent within a decade. You cannot attack +60% of the population without consequences – which is what the establishment is doing. Furthermore, despite a wide-open border, the regime is not able to get replacements for White citizens fast enough. Something will snap. I think 2024 is the catalyst for a complete collapse of trust in the system.

Movies are already being made about an American civil war. That is good for us. Secession talk is no longer a fringe position. It is normalized and significant majorities within core constituencies now believe the United States is no longer tenable as it is currently conceived.

Last month, the American Empire tore down a peace monument to Southern soldiers. It was designed as a statue to commemorate reconciliation in the post war era. It is now gone. The regime indicated that it no longer values us as citizens. It no longer wants reconciliation with those who once sought an independent South. That is fine with me.

Civil war is coming – not in 2024, but this will be the historical year within which the roots of civil war began to sprout from the soil of liberty. I would prefer a peaceful separation, but I no longer believe peace will be afforded to us. When Americans awaken to another stolen election in November, the United States will march toward its end and the world will be a better place without it.