The Four Powder Kegs

Since the Chinese virus started, I’ve had a lot of extra time on my hands and I’ve been paying quite a bit of attention to geopolitics.  It’s far more fascinating than our domestic issues here, with just endless riots by angry, crustpunk weirdos.  The four potential powder kegs occurring across the globe will be laid out in some level of detail and I’ll touch lightly on one other zone that doesn’t have the potential (yet) but is still in a fair amount of tumult. 

The American Empire

The first powder keg is the one I’m going to spend the least amount of time on: the U.S.  The reason I don’t see the point in spending much time on the U.S. is the ID boys, along with other dissident sites, have exhaustively covered the civil unrest in ‘Merica.  We are all aware of the “mostly peaceful” protests while cities burn and a 17 year-old is sitting in prison for doing nothing wrong.  So, why do I consider this a powder keg?  Lets look at the various players involved, both foreign and “domestic.”  We have immigrants from all over the world that aren’t particularly sympathetic to the U.S. as envisioned by the founding stock and are jockeying for their own ethnic interests, as well as, maintaining their own unassimilated strongholds.  This isn’t surprising and happened even when the immigrants were all from Europe.  The difference now is that Western Christian morality is uncommon now.

The regions in the U.S. that are experiencing the most turmoil are also those that obviously want to leave and/or are governed by radical progressives that want to punish anyone that disagrees with their ideology. Those punitive reactions are largely non-violent at this point (think unemployment for thoughtcrime), but could very well change course as things become more disruptive, such as the execution of a Patriot Prayer member in Portland. China has been seeding the West Coast with agitators and communists for decades now and we can see this from the amount of spies getting caught over the last few years (Feinstein’s driver for example). Mexico and La Raza have been pushing for reconquering Texas through migration alone and with a weakened imperial presence (or one that doesn’t care enough to prevent these issues) this is another area of ethnic conflict developing. The U.S. could very well balkanize in a bizarre way or just slowly collapse with the economic strife. The interesting thing here is that anything used to intervene in the other powder kegs, which we definitely will do, simply pushes us further and further into our own.

You find the powder keg aspect when you view the foreign actors involved. Obviously, we have Mexico and China as two of the big ones, and with their own with people on the ground. Russia has mentioned something about getting Alaska back and how serious they are is a coin flip at the moment. Our elites are beholden to NGOs, the UN, NATO, and Israel. They care more about them than their own people; they shrug their shoulders at rural America. The American powder keg is almost exclusively elites fighting one another with the people as pawns. 

India and Chicoms

The next powder keg is India and China. Why exactly? The border skirmish between India and China has been slowly cooking and could boil over at any moment. The People’s Liberation Army (Chinese PLA) have been underperforming (to say the least) in these skirmishes with the Indians, who have also been fighting on their other border with Pakistan for decades. There are a few other weird moving pieces to this powder keg.  Taiwan is one of them. China is really saber rattling about Taiwan and has said they will declare war on the U.S. if we resume placing troops on the island.  Japan is somewhat involved as they’ve been having some tense relations with the Chinese over the last couple of years that seem to have gone dormant for now involving artificial islands the Chinese are building in the South China Sea. 

Why exactly is this a powder keg? We are allies with India and Japan and support Taiwan. In addition, we use Pakistan for our opium farm colony in Afghanistan to bring arms to our mercenaries fighting there. Pakistan could easily see this as a time to strike if things start going sideways and may go into India. The U.S. would most likely try proxy war against China. I seriously doubt the Chinese are going to allow the U.S. to engage them in a proxy war in the 2020s. We are past that point and both the U.S. and China have been saber rattling at one another since the Chinese virus started. This has the possibility of a major regional conflict, but doubt it would spread into a full scale world war – that’s the next two powder kegs.

Eastern Europe

The third possible powder keg is in Eastern Europe. This is a complete mess of a situation and there are a lot of strange actors and moving parts. The three biggest players that are not world powers are Belarus, Poland, and the Ukraine. The major outside influences in the region are the Russian Federation, the EU and the U.S.  So, now to brass tacks on this – initially, there was the Visigrad countries which roughly fall into the old Austro-Hungarian Empires territories and included Poland as well. Now, we have the next expansion of that into the Three Seas Initiative. The Three Seas Initiative would be an attempt to create an Eastern EU. It’s called that because the goal is to have the block spread from the Adriatic to the Baltic and to the Black Sea.  The countries that are proposed for this currently are Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia. 

You may be asking How Belarus and Ukraine fit into this at this point. Ukraine has obviously been having issues with the Russians for the last few years and unless you’ve been living under a rock you’re aware of this. Belarus recently had a presidential election that the EU and the U.S. are trying to say was illegitimate.  Where this gets interesting is the Polish government is also going in this direction. The reason why is the Poles want to get the Ukrainians and Belarusians in on the block and Lukashenko was initially showing some minor level of interest while he was pulling himself a bit away from Putin and the Russian government.  That’s the backstory why this was occurring. It expands further when we see the U.S. and Radio Free Europe (a CIA op) pushing for regime change in Belarus. The Polish government was also pushing for this because Lukashenko decided not to play ball. This region has quieted down a bit to allow the one I’ll be detailing next to take up the news space for those paying attention to the world.

The regime change and color revolution has been beat back hard by the Belarusian government and it doesn’t look like they are going to put up with that level of influence on their nation or people.  The way it would most likely begin to develop into a regional conflict, and then into a war dragging Western Europe and the U.S., would be the continued aggravation for regime change and pro-EU color revolution in the region. If the U.S. decided they wanted to send “peacekeepers and observers,” Russia would respond in the same way but wouldn’t pussy foot with it. The American Empire would insert themselves for “democracy.” Russia isn’t a non-threat, but the elites in the American Empire are both malicious and retarded.

Turks and Azerbaijanis and Armenians, Oh My!

The last region is the Eastern Mediterranean and the Caucasus (which is a very complex situation across the board). We have the Lebanese wanting to become a French colony again, Turks trying to reinstate the Neo-Ottoman Empire, Syria is becoming less of a crazy zone with Turkey pulling their mercenaries to go fight in the ongoing war between Azerbaijan and Armenia. This is the real powder keg and, generally speaking, the U.S. has stayed quiet. The Turks are heavily involved, which creates an interesting issue as they are a NATO power, and are in conflict with another NATO power in the region, Greece. The Greeks are pissed at the Turks which isn’t uncommon, but the Turks were recently found to have been using NGOs to funnel spies and terrorists into Greece to cause trouble and have become increasingly aggressive in Libya and in the Eastern Mediterranean, violating territorial waters of those they don’t respect.  They are also carrying out air missions over Armenia now with no formal declaration of war and shot down a SU-25 from Armenia with a U.S. made F-16. 

The extreme levels of quagmire includes Israel backing the Turks, which isn’t a real surprise if you are familiar with their track record and I assume the readers of Identity Dixie are. The really fascinating responses are from actors you wouldn’t expect. The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia just blocked all import trade from Turkey to their nation and were the 16^th largest importer for Turkish goods. The Iranians are congratulating their Shia compatriots in Azerbaijan on retaking territory for the Muslim world while also allowing the Russians to go through Iran to supply and support the Armenians. We, the American Empire, have given a very limp wristed response involving this so far with nothing coming officially from our Secretary of State Pompeo or the White House. Macron in his attempt to start some kind of French Pax Meditteranium has been on the phone with Ilham Aliyev a few times trying to put the genie back in the bottle.  All of this developed just days after the Russian Federation ran their annual joint drills in the Caucuses with the nations who would participate. 

Another interesting piece to this puzzle is Cyprus. Cyprus, for those not fully aware, is a moderately sized island off the coast of both Syria and Turkey which is split in two, with there being The Republic of Cyprus which is Greek Cypriots and some Englishmen from the days of British interventionism in the region (giving them a minor stake in this conflict as well) and the other part controlled by Turkey itself and is obviously inhabited by Turkish Cypriots.  This has a very serious possibility of becoming another significant chess piece in the region as its been a very tense century of the island being under split rule and Erdogan pushing more and more towards trying to bring the Ottoman Empire back. 

So, how does the American Empire end up in this? Israel and NATO want an alliance with the Turks. The moment we even start looking to get involved, or meddle in this beyond “oh, no please stop,” is when that region explodes.

That’s my rough summary of some of what’s going on in the world and the way everything is shaking out as we speak and get to watch inside our cordova virus proof bubbles. I hope this was informative and if I was wrong about anything please comment, if you have more information (this could very well go up in a day or two and become completely inaccurate) comment below and let me know what has changed.

Vaya Con Dios