While events in the Middle East teeter on the brink, there’s still that thing going on in Eastern Europe involving hundreds of thousands of combatants along a line of contact that would stretch from the White House all the way down to the middle of Florida.
This would be the easiest way for Americans to conceptualize it, because in terms of our history there really isn’t anything comparable and the U.S. military doesn’t have the capability to fight such a conflict or the complex to keep it supplied at that scale for years on end. My friends with silver oak leaves don’t even know how to properly interpret what they’re looking at and assume we could trounce the Russians in Ukraine overnight like it’s Iraq back in 2003. The ignorance is that atrocious.
Western media and governments have been lying to their populations about what’s been going on this entire time. The narrative keeps changing and most somehow keep believing it. However, there are certain consistencies. One is that it began with Putin launching a “full-scale invasion” or “all-out invasion.” Google either phrase and you’ll turn up with endless articles and videos on Ukraine. One of these phrases is still used in basically any mainstream article on the subject.
Pretty much everyone in our sphere of content understands that when they’re all saying the same thing in unison, that’s usually a glaring admission that they’re lying. Another consistent canard is that the entire reason for this war is the Soviet territorial ambitions of Vladimir Putin. That’s why it’s constantly referred to as “one man’s war of choice” or “Putin’s war of choice,” the implication being that there was no imperative for Russia to fight and it could just stop at any time.
What’s changed is that everyone was first assured that Russia was losing very badly. I had lunch a couple years ago with an officer in DC who told me the Russians were sending conscripts forward without rifles to get blasted in order to identify Ukrainian positions. The fact that professionals would believe the turkey shoot nonsense was something I found deeply disturbing. Moreover, it was also taken for granted that Russia’s economy was on the verge of collapse due to sanctions.
They’ve had to admit that Russia’s economy is nowhere near collapse. However, the turkey shoot is still ongoing if you believe the media. Initially, it was all about how the Russian Army would disintegrate in the face of Ukrainian offensives, turning out not to be true three times. Finally, the general admission was made that the situation was developing poorly for Ukraine.
Yet, this was coupled with the canard that the Russians were doing suicidal “banzai charges” to turn the tide. This allowed the narrative to be salvaged a bit by implying that while things weren’t going well for Ukraine, they were inflicting massive lopsided casualties on the Russians. In other words, we were still winning in a way instead of being lied to the entire time.
The other consistent narrative is that the Russians haven’t made much territorial progress beyond areas already held by Russian militias prior to the outset of the Special Military Operation back in 2022. This one is highly problematic in the sense that it’s actually true. So, Russia has been fighting for roughly 2.5 years with very little ground taken. This metric makes it quite easy to mislead the public that they’re being held off by the Ukrainians instead accomplishing an ongoing fulfillment of the primary strategic objective at this stage of the SMO. I’ll explain that later, but first some primer:
In Donbass, the Ukrainians are defending what was the Soviet version of the Maginot Line for Moscow which had been expanded by NATO since the coup in Kiev back in 2014. Ukraine is one of the most bunkered locations on Earth and many of the military positions were built to survive a preemptive nuclear strike so the defenders could emerge and fight off a NATO invasion. On top of that, is all of the facilities meant originally for civilian use, like the Azovstal bunker underneath the massive industrial facility in Mariupol where the Ukrainians were able to hold out during a lengthy siege.
It’s also critical to understand that between the Ukrainians and the Russians are the world’s most extensive minefields. It’s suicidal to assault through these fields in the style of battle used in World War Two, especially since any advance must be conducted in full view of the enemy out in the open, where it’s vulnerable to drones and artillery. The Russians don’t bother for these obvious reasons, but the Ukrainians were forced to do it in offensives that achieved nothing. I’ve seen the drone footage on Russian Telegram channels. It’s sickening.
Back to the current primary objective: the Russian strategy has been to allow the flow of units and supplies eastward where they can be more easily destroyed, rather than crippling Ukraine and stranding them all over a vast country. Part of this strategy has been to create certain kill boxes the Ukrainians are compelled to defend at great cost, such as Bakhmut and Adeevka.
In these areas, firepower can be concentrated as corridors are cynically kept open for them to constantly feed men into the grinder. For instance, before Adeevka fell, it was being pounded with 200 metric tons of glide bombs every day by SU-34s dropping from a safe distance. This sort of operation can’t be conducted if the Ukrainians are spread out further to the west. It’s a facilitated slaughter.
Also, key to this strategy is killing the Ukrainians with “a thousand cuts” (more Western media unison terminology) whereby they’re kept guessing with probing attacks and feints all along the line. There’s a grim logic to the Russian strategy if one can divorce himself from the cold horror of it all. The end game is that Ukraine is depleted of manpower and NATO is depleted of supplies and equipment to send. Ukrainian casualties are in the ballpark of 1 million. Much of the equipment sent by NATO isn’t manufactured anymore or is produced in boutique quantities. Likewise with the munitions.
When this is over, Russia can take whatever it wants without further loss of life rather than making unnecessary sacrifices fighting in an all-out war like it’s been claimed they’re doing. For example, it’s essential for them to take Odessa, a Russian city on the Black Sea. By any other strategy, they’d have to cross the Dnieper River and supply a large army across this river in operations to take Odessa, creating exposed choke points and supply lines that would be extremely vulnerable.
Furthermore, sieges such as Fallujah and Mariupol have demonstrated that taking a city in a modern war requires laying waste to the city. Besides Mariupol, the major cities that Russia needs to take are full of Russians and will be returning to Russia. Destroying them is counterproductive and requires the Russians to take heavy casualties. That’s why Russia avoids doing so wherever possible and, when it’s not, PMCs and volunteer units such as the Chechens and local militias are utilized.
In the meantime, this lack of progress on a map is very useful for deceiving the Western public. It’s used to create the current narrative that Ukraine can’t win but Russia has taken massive losses without making much progress so a deal will have to be made to end the conflict where the two sides currently stand. This is nonsense in actuality.
We’re being fed it because this outcome would be the best case for the neocon Jews who forced Putin to pull the trigger back in 2022 under the misguided belief that the sanctions introduced would collapse the Russian economy while it was stuck in a Ukrainian quagmire and lead to the breakup of the federation. Freezing the lines where they are in Donbass would be the best position for when the conflict is revived. If the Ukrainians are west of the Dnieper River, a new conflict would be a non-starter.
The neocon plan was never to defeat Russia in Ukraine. This would’ve been a risibly idiotic proposition. That was just the narrative they came up with after the original plan to collapse it with sanctions failed and nobody wanted to admit that there wasn’t another plan if the first one failed. They’ve just kept lying and probably hoping for the best this entire time.
The Russians have made it clear that they have no intention of freezing the conflict so it can be revived by NATO at a later date. They’re capable of sustaining their operations for as long as they need to collapse Ukraine if the Ukrainians are unwilling to meet their terms. So, this narrative will turn out to be false like each of the others.
There was some risk of escalation and speculation about how far NATO might be willing to go to scare the Russians into halting the SMO in order for the neocons to salvage something of their project in the future. This all was out the window when the retarded Jews over in Israel went off the deep end last October. That wasn’t part of the neocon plan, either. Uncle Sam has a different priority now.
At this point, the Ukrainians are suffering what’s estimated to be between 1,000 to 2,000 casualties per day to overwhelming Russian firepower, which includes thousands of glide bomb sorties every month. The toll for July is somewhere around 60,000. A big question is how long they’re willing to sustain such losses if this was known to the general public in Ukraine, along with the fact that they stand no chance of victory. Conscription is often a forcible process, with many being dragged off the streets and citizens setting the vehicles of the conscription officers on fire.
The Ukrainians I know seem to think they can still win eventually, although this is hardly a scientific measurement of public sentiment. At the same time, the Russian public isn’t suffering any more than the American public during the Global War on Terror and they know they’re winning in a fight to defend Russia. I’ve got friends on both sides, so it’s an interesting dichotomy.
The endgame is either going to be a collapse of Ukraine and Russian territorial acquisition under rather chaotic circumstances or a settlement negotiated in Russia’s favor. Putin has said that a prerequisite for negotiations would be a willingness by the Ukrainian military to vacate all territory that’s now part of the Russian Federation. What he’d demand after that is uncertain. Russia is also positioned as the only party that can actually help Ukraine at any significant scale after the war, so that’s more leverage on his side.
What concessions he’d be willing to make are uncertain after such a lengthy struggle. He clearly finds negotiation preferable to expending Russian lives. That’s why agreements were concluded on three separate occasions. But, that was before 2.5 years of slaughter. He’s open about being foolish for trusting the West to abide by its word and Ukraine doesn’t get much of a say in this matter. It could be that it will be forced to fight as long as it can hold itself together. If it was up to the Ukrainians, this would’ve been over by March of 2022 according to the third agreement that they signed with Russia.
There’s also the potential that wrapping this up as soon as possible is preferrable to the Russians in the sense that they openly state that NATO is looking for World War 3, and would like to be getting prepared rather than extending themselves in Ukraine. The Rand Corporation produced a white paper titled Extending Russia back in 2019 that named bogging them down fighting in Ukraine as a great way to accomplish this one.
I don’t expect the American public to understand what ultimately transpired in this conflict. It’s leading to a rapid realignment of the global order, which will have domestic consequences that the average American won’t be able to conceptualize as being connected to what happened in a failed attempt to collapse the Russian Federation. This is a sharp contrast to a potential war on behalf of Israel, which would lead immediately to dead Americans and skyrocketing gas prices.
We’ll have to wait and see. Until then, many thousands will continue to perish for no good reason. When Jews are in control, a nation can only careen from one disaster to the next. That’s the sad reality for both the United States and Ukraine.
I’m proud to officially announce my candidacy for the office of Dogcatcher.
“everyone in our sphere of content understands that when they’re all saying the same thing in unison, that’s usually a glaring admission that they’re lying.”
Everyone in our sphere recognizes mind control when they see it.
Thanks again, as always, for giving me news I can trust!
A very interesting and imho, a likely outcome analysis. Thanks again, Shack!
Fantastic Tom.Such knowledge and understanding of the cause of events.As Hitler said and I paraphrase,learning is more than just the names of kings or the dates of battles but what actually causes events to transpire.I need to look that quote up because it is so remarkable.Once again you’ve given me the best reading matter of my week.You’ll have to prod T.Morris to write some more of those great pieces on our Confederate irregular/special forces as well.Thank you and its nice to know the Jews won’t be getting back their Khazar homeland and its trillions in minerals.God bless you Sir and stay ever vigilant.Christ is King.